Indonésia vs Camboja Estatísticas de Confrontos Diretos e Comparação de Forma

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Context matters here: Cambodia's schedule strength (SoS: 82.0) has been notably more demanding than Indonesia's (SoS: 64.8), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.

Offensively, Cambodia outperforms Indonesia with 2.3 goals per match to 1.3, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Cambodia — 0.3 goals conceded per game and 2 clean sheets put them well ahead of Indonesia, who give up 3.0 goals per match at the other end.

Indonesia has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Cambodia has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Indonesia is a strong road performer with a 100% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 3.4 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Indonesia is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 6 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: Cambodia is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 3 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

💡 Why This Matters: The 59.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Cambodia. In practical terms, Cambodia would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Accounting for opponent quality throughout our evaluation, Cambodia emerges as the heavy favorite by every measurable indicator. A power rating of 92.5 compared to 33.2, combined with across-the-board statistical superiority, projects Cambodia as the likely winner and by a comfortable margin.

These two teams drew 1-1 in the Internationals Women (2026-06-09). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.