New York vs Chicago Estatísticas de Confrontos Diretos e Comparação de Forma

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 54.2 vs 54.0), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Offensively, Chicago outperforms New York with 1.8 goals per match to 1.5, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Defensively, New York and Chicago are evenly matched, allowing 1.6 and 1.5 goals per game respectively.

New York has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Chicago has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Chicago has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Statistical modeling projects 3.2 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Chicago has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Chicago faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.5 goals per match. If New York can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 9.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 75% win probability for Chicago. In practical terms, Chicago would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

Chicago has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 9.9-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams drew 1-1 in the Major League Soccer (2026-08-23). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning. In their recent US Major League Soccer match (2026-05-09), New York prevailed 1-3 against Chicago. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, New York achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Chicago shows genuine quality and mental strength. Chicago will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. New York will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.