Nova Zelândia vs Haiti Estatísticas de Confrontos Diretos e Comparação de Forma

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 62.4 vs 68.5), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Haiti's attack is on another level, averaging 1.5 goals per match with M. Dumornay leading the charge (1 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

Haiti has the defensive edge, conceding 2.0 per match compared to New Zealand's 2.4.

New Zealand has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 8 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.1 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: New Zealand is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 8 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: Haiti is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 4 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Haiti faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 2.0 goals per match. If New Zealand can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 25.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Haiti. In practical terms, Haiti would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Haiti emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (50.3 vs 24.7) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

In their recent Internationals Women match (2026-06-05), Haiti prevailed 1-2 against New Zealand. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Haiti achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against New Zealand shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 1-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. New Zealand will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Haiti will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.