Roma vs Lecce Estatísticas de Confrontos Diretos e Comparação de Forma

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 56.5 vs 64.0), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Few sides can match Roma in front of goal. Their 2.3 average per fixture tells the story, with D. Malen driving that output personally responsible for 8 goals this campaign.

Defensively, Roma and Lecce are evenly matched, allowing 1.1 and 1.0 goals per game respectively.

Roma has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Lecce is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.7 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

🔥 Form Momentum: Roma is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 23 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📈 Form Momentum: Lecce has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Roma is on the rise with 7W in last 10, while Lecce shows signs of decline with 4W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 21.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Roma. In practical terms, Roma would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Roma emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (73.3 vs 51.7) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

In the Italian Serie A (2026-03-22), Roma beat Lecce 1-0. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Roma secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Lecce will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Roma will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.