Sassuolo vs Parma Estatísticas de Confrontos Diretos e Comparação de Forma

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 62.0 vs 64.2), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Sassuolo possess a formidable attacking unit, with A. Pinamonti accounting for 2 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 3.6 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

Both defenses are comparable, with Sassuolo conceding 1.2 and Parma conceding 1.4 per match.

Sassuolo has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Parma has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 7 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Sassuolo has an exceptional home record with a 83% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Statistical modeling projects 3.5 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Sassuolo has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Sassuolo faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Parma can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 27.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Sassuolo. In practical terms, Sassuolo would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Sassuolo emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (69.4 vs 42.0) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

In the Italian Serie A (2026-05-24), Parma beat Sassuolo 1-0. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Parma secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Sassuolo will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Parma will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.