Shakhtar D vs AZ Estatísticas de Confrontos Diretos e Comparação de Forma

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Shakhtar D has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 59.7 against considerably stronger competition than AZ (SoS: 49.2). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.

The attacking output of Shakhtar D and AZ is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 2.0 and 1.9 goals per game respectively.

Defensively, Shakhtar D holds the advantage — allowing just 0.8 goals per game against AZ's 1.4.

AZ has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Statistical modeling projects 3.0 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Shakhtar D has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 15.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Shakhtar D. In practical terms, Shakhtar D would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Shakhtar D in this contest. Their superior power rating of 66.5, compared to 51.3 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams drew 2-2 in the UEFA Conference League (2026-04-16). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning. In their recent UEFA Conference League encounter (2026-04-09), Shakhtar D came out on top with a 3-0 victory over AZ. European competition results carry significant weight in assessing the balance of power between these sides. Shakhtar D secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 3-0 scoreline was emphatic — Shakhtar D completely dominated AZ in that encounter, raising serious questions about AZ's ability to compete at this level. AZ will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Shakhtar D will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.