Sudão do Sul vs República Democrática do Congo Estatísticas de Confrontos Diretos e Comparação de Forma

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 50.3 vs 51.7), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Congo DR leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.2 goals per game compared to South Sudan's 0.8 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Congo DR — 0.8 goals conceded per game and 4 clean sheets put them well ahead of South Sudan, who give up 1.7 goals per match at the other end.

South Sudan has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Congo DR has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.2 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.

❄️ Form Momentum: South Sudan is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 6 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Congo DR is on the rise with 4W in last 10, while South Sudan shows signs of decline with 1W in last 6.

💡 Why This Matters: The 15.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Congo DR. In practical terms, Congo DR would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Congo DR in this contest. Their superior power rating of 49.8, compared to 33.9 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - African (2025-09-05): Congo DR defeated South Sudan 1-4. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Congo DR's ability to perform on the biggest stage against South Sudan. Notably, Congo DR achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against South Sudan shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 1-4 scoreline was emphatic — Congo DR completely dominated South Sudan in that encounter, raising serious questions about South Sudan's ability to compete at this level. South Sudan will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Congo DR will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.