Espanha vs Inglaterra Estatísticas de Confrontos Diretos e Comparação de Forma

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

Context matters here: England's schedule strength (SoS: 56.4) has been notably more demanding than Spain's (SoS: 35.7), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.

Spain (2.9 goals per match) and England (2.7 goals per match) present comparable offensive threats, making this an evenly contested attacking matchup.

Spain's backline outperforms England's, with 0.3 goals conceded per match versus 0.7.

England has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Spain has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

England is a strong road performer with a 67% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.3 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.

🔥 Form Momentum: Spain is in scorching form, winning 8 of their last 10 matches with 29 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

🔥 Form Momentum: England is in scorching form, winning 8 of their last 10 matches with 27 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: Both teams are on upward trajectories. Spain has won 8 of their last 5, while England has won 8. This clash of momentum makes the outcome particularly unpredictable.

💡 Why This Matters: The 8.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 70% win probability for England. In practical terms, England would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward England, with a 8.2-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the Women's European World Cup Qualifiers (2026-06-05): Spain defeated England 4-0. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Spain's ability to perform on the biggest stage against England. Spain secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 4-0 scoreline was emphatic — Spain completely dominated England in that encounter, raising serious questions about England's ability to compete at this level. England will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Spain will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams met recently in the Women's European World Cup Qualifiers (2026-04-14): England defeated Spain 1-0. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates England's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Spain. England secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Spain will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. England will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.