Bournemouth vs Brentford Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Bournemouth vs Brentford: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Bournemouth
Home Team
Brentford
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Bournemouth
Draw
Brentford
Statistical Comparison
5W, 5D, 0L
1W, 7D, 2L
18 / 10 matches
13 / 10 matches
9 / 10 matches
14 / 10 matches
+9
-1
3 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
1W / 4 matches
1W / 5 matches
4W / 6 matches
0W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 92.7, Opponent Quality: 68.4
League Difficulty: 92.7, Opponent Quality: 69.7
1W / 5 matches
1W / 5 matches
Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.2
Actual: 1.3 | Diff: -0.27
Attack: 69.6, Defense: 81.2, Form: 58.0
Attack: 50.5, Defense: 62.1, Form: 11.7
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Bournemouth
Brentford
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 66.0 vs 66.5), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
Offensively, Bournemouth outperforms Brentford with 1.8 goals per match to 1.3, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.
Bournemouth's backline outperforms Brentford's, with 0.9 goals conceded per match versus 1.4.
Bournemouth has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Brentford has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Bournemouth is a strong road performer with a 67% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.
Statistical modeling projects 2.7 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.
📈 Form Momentum: Bournemouth has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
❄️ Form Momentum: Brentford is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Bournemouth is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Brentford shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.
💡 Why This Matters: The 22.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Bournemouth. In practical terms, Bournemouth would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
Bournemouth emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (69.1 vs 46.5) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Bournemouth
Brentford
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Bournemouth
5W 5D 0L · 18 goals scored · 9 conceded
Brentford
1W 7D 2L · 13 goals scored · 14 conceded
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