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Compare Atalanta vs Bayern Munich

Atalanta vs Bayern Munich Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Atalanta vs Bayern Munich: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Atalanta Atalanta Home Team
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich Away Team
Atalanta
51.4
D L W D L D D L W W

Last 10 Matches

Bayern Munich
70.9
L W W W D D L W W W

Performance Radar

Atalanta
Bayern Munich

Categories Won

1

Atalanta

2

Draw

12

Bayern Munich

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 4D, 3L

60%

6W, 2D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

2.8

28 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+2

+2

+11

+11

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
30%

3 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
N. Krstović (2 goals)
H. Kane (11 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 5
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 18
Home Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
63.5

League Difficulty: 85.5, Opponent Quality: 65.9

64.8

League Difficulty: 78.4, Opponent Quality: 67.1

Elite Opponent Record
25%

1W / 4 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.52

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: -0.32

3.35

Actual: 2.8 | Diff: -0.55

Adjusted Power Rating
51.4

Attack: 45.4, Defense: 75.7, Form: 34.0

70.9

Attack: 100, Defense: 49.7, Form: 68.9

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

2
2

16-30'

3
3

31-45'

5
2

46-60'

6
1

61-75'

4
2

76-90+'

8
Atalanta
Bayern Munich
Atalanta

Power Rating Breakdown

51.4

Overall

Attack 45.4
Defense 75.7
Form 34.0
Consistency 57.7
Bayern Munich

Power Rating Breakdown

70.9

Overall

Attack 100
Defense 49.7
Form 68.9
Consistency 52.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

85.5 vs 78.4

Opponent Quality

65.9 vs 67.1

Elite Opponent Record

25% vs 40%
Atalanta logo Atalanta
D
Fiorentina (72%)
L
Bologna (58%)
W
AC Milan (63%)
D
Genoa (60%)
L
Cagliari (67%)
D
Lazio (47%)
D
Roma (85%)
L
Juventus (73%)
Bayern Munich logo Bayern Munich
L
Wiesbaden (51%)
W
Stuttgart (58%)
W
Köln (64%)
W
Wolfsburg (67%)
D
Paris SG (76%)
D
Heidenheim (71%)
L
Paris SG (81%)
W
Mainz (70%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Fiorentina A
1 - 1 D
72%
Bologna H
0 - 1 L
58%
AC Milan A
3 - 2 W
63%
Genoa H
0 - 0 D
60%
Cagliari A
2 - 3 L
67%
Lazio H
1 - 1 D
47%
Roma A
1 - 1 D
85%
Juventus H
0 - 1 L
73%
Lecce A
3 - 0 W
70%
Verona H
1 - 0 W
64%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Wiesbaden A
1 - 2 L
51%
Stuttgart H
3 - 0 W
58%
Köln H
5 - 1 W
64%
Wolfsburg A
1 - 0 W
67%
Paris SG H
1 - 1 D
76%
Heidenheim H
3 - 3 D
71%
Paris SG A
4 - 5 L
81%
Mainz A
4 - 3 W
70%
Bayer 04 A
2 - 0 W
57%
Stuttgart H
4 - 2 W
76%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 63.5 vs 64.8), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Bayern Munich possess a formidable attacking unit, with H. Kane accounting for 11 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 2.8 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

Atalanta's backline outperforms Bayern Munich's, with 1.0 goals conceded per match versus 1.7.

Atalanta has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Bayern Munich has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Bayern Munich is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.4 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

📈 Form Momentum: Bayern Munich has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Bayern Munich is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Atalanta shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Bayern Munich faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.7 goals per match. If Atalanta can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 19.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Bayern Munich. In practical terms, Bayern Munich would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Bayern Munich emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (70.9 vs 51.4) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Atalanta

Atalanta

VS
Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Atalanta

3W 4D 3L · 12 goals scored · 10 conceded

Bayern Munich

6W 2D 2L · 28 goals scored · 17 conceded

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