Bayern Munich vs Dortmund Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Bayern Munich vs Dortmund: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Bayern Munich
Home Team
Dortmund
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Bayern Munich
Draw
Dortmund
Statistical Comparison
6W, 2D, 2L
6W, 0D, 4L
28 / 10 matches
19 / 10 matches
17 / 10 matches
11 / 10 matches
+11
+8
3 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
3W / 5 matches
3W / 4 matches
3W / 5 matches
3W / 6 matches
League Difficulty: 78.4, Opponent Quality: 67.1
League Difficulty: 81.8, Opponent Quality: 64.1
2W / 5 matches
1W / 3 matches
Actual: 2.8 | Diff: -0.55
Actual: 1.9 | Diff: -0.34
Attack: 100, Defense: 49.7, Form: 68.9
Attack: 71.8, Defense: 71.8, Form: 68.0
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Bayern Munich
Dortmund
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 64.8 vs 63.4), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
Bayern Munich leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.8 goals per game compared to Dortmund's 1.9 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.
Defensively, Dortmund holds the advantage — allowing just 1.1 goals per game against Bayern Munich's 1.7.
Bayern Munich has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Dortmund has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Dortmund has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.
Bayern Munich is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.
Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.
📈 Form Momentum: Bayern Munich has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📈 Form Momentum: Dortmund has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📊 Key Trend: Both teams are on upward trajectories. Bayern Munich has won 6 of their last 5, while Dortmund has won 6. This clash of momentum makes the outcome particularly unpredictable.
⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Bayern Munich faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.7 goals per match. If Dortmund can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.
💡 Why This Matters: The 5.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 64% win probability for Bayern Munich. In practical terms, Bayern Munich would win 6 out of 10 such matchups.
Bayern Munich has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 5.7-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Bayern Munich
Dortmund
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Bayern Munich
6W 2D 2L · 28 goals scored · 17 conceded
Dortmund
6W 0D 4L · 19 goals scored · 11 conceded
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