Bedford vs Chorley Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Bedford vs Chorley: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Bedford
Home Team
Chorley
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Bedford
Draw
Chorley
Statistical Comparison
4W, 4D, 2L
2W, 3D, 5L
13 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
12 / 10 matches
11 / 10 matches
+1
-5
3 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
3W / 6 matches
2W / 5 matches
1W / 4 matches
0W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 31.5, Opponent Quality: 40.9
League Difficulty: 33.0, Opponent Quality: 42.8
0W / 0 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 1.3 | Diff: +0.17
Actual: 0.6 | Diff: +0.07
Attack: 37.7, Defense: 52.3, Form: 34.8
Attack: 17.8, Defense: 56.3, Form: 17.8
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Bedford
Chorley
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 37.1 vs 38.9), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
Bedford holds the attacking edge with 1.3 goals per match versus Chorley's 0.6, though the gap isn't insurmountable.
Defensively, Bedford and Chorley are evenly matched, allowing 1.2 and 1.1 goals per game respectively.
Bedford has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Chorley has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Statistical modeling projects 2.1 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.
📈 Form Momentum: Bedford has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
❄️ Form Momentum: Chorley is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
💡 Why This Matters: The 9.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 74% win probability for Bedford. In practical terms, Bedford would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.
The numbers lean toward Bedford, with a 9.5-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Bedford
Chorley
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Bedford
4W 4D 2L · 13 goals scored · 12 conceded
Chorley
2W 3D 5L · 6 goals scored · 11 conceded
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