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Compare Brentford vs Bournemouth

Brentford vs Bournemouth Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Brentford vs Bournemouth: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Brentford Brentford Home Team
Bournemouth Bournemouth Away Team
Brentford
46.5
D D L W L D D D D D

Last 10 Matches

Bournemouth
69.2
W D D W W D W W D D

Performance Radar

Brentford
Bournemouth

Categories Won

3

Brentford

3

Draw

9

Bournemouth

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
10%

1W, 7D, 2L

50%

5W, 5D, 0L

Goals Scored / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-1

-1

+9

+9

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Igor Thiago (6 goals)
J. Kroupi (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 13
Home Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 5 matches

67%

4W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
66.5

League Difficulty: 92.7, Opponent Quality: 69.9

66.3

League Difficulty: 92.7, Opponent Quality: 69.2

Elite Opponent Record
20%

1W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.57

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: -0.27

2.0

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.2

Adjusted Power Rating
46.5

Attack: 50.5, Defense: 62.1, Form: 11.7

69.2

Attack: 69.8, Defense: 81.4, Form: 58.1

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

1
2

16-30'

1
2

31-45'

3
1

46-60'

3
1

61-75'

2
5

76-90+'

4
Brentford
Bournemouth
Brentford

Power Rating Breakdown

46.5

Overall

Attack 50.5
Defense 62.1
Form 11.7
Consistency 82.0
Bournemouth

Power Rating Breakdown

69.2

Overall

Attack 69.8
Defense 81.4
Form 58.1
Consistency 70.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

92.7 vs 92.7

Opponent Quality

69.9 vs 69.2

Elite Opponent Record

20% vs 20%
Brentford logo Brentford
D
Liverpool (72%)
D
Palace (66%)
L
Man City (88%)
W
West Ham (72%)
L
Man Utd (84%)
D
Fulham (64%)
D
Everton (65%)
D
Leeds (77%)
Bournemouth logo Bournemouth
W
St. Pauli (33%)
D
Forest (84%)
D
Man City (83%)
W
Fulham (69%)
W
Palace (66%)
D
Leeds (72%)
W
Newcastle (69%)
W
Arsenal (84%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Liverpool A
1 - 1 D
72%
Palace H
2 - 2 D
66%
Man City A
0 - 3 L
88%
West Ham H
3 - 0 W
72%
Man Utd A
1 - 2 L
84%
Fulham H
0 - 0 D
64%
Everton H
2 - 2 D
65%
Leeds A
0 - 0 D
77%
Wolves H
2 - 2 D
55%
West Ham A
2 - 2 D
56%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
St. Pauli A
4 - 1 W
33%
Forest A
1 - 1 D
84%
Man City H
1 - 1 D
83%
Fulham A
1 - 0 W
69%
Palace H
3 - 0 W
66%
Leeds H
2 - 2 D
72%
Newcastle A
2 - 1 W
69%
Arsenal A
2 - 1 W
84%
Man Utd H
2 - 2 D
79%
Burnley A
0 - 0 D
53%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 66.5 vs 66.3), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Offensively, Bournemouth outperforms Brentford with 1.8 goals per match to 1.3, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Bournemouth's backline outperforms Brentford's, with 0.9 goals conceded per match versus 1.4.

Brentford has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Bournemouth has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Bournemouth is a strong road performer with a 67% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.7 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

❄️ Form Momentum: Brentford is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Bournemouth has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Bournemouth is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Brentford shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 22.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Bournemouth. In practical terms, Bournemouth would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Bournemouth in this contest. Their superior power rating of 69.2, compared to 46.5 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Brentford

Brentford

VS
Bournemouth

Bournemouth

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Brentford

1W 7D 2L · 13 goals scored · 14 conceded

Bournemouth

5W 5D 0L · 18 goals scored · 9 conceded

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