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Compare Cheltenham vs Barrow

Cheltenham vs Barrow Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Cheltenham vs Barrow: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Cheltenham Cheltenham Home Team
Barrow Barrow Away Team
Cheltenham
39.4
L W L L W W L L L W

Last 10 Matches

Barrow
37.2
D L L W W D W L L L

Performance Radar

Cheltenham
Barrow

Categories Won

10

Cheltenham

2

Draw

3

Barrow

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 0D, 6L

30%

3W, 2D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
2.0

20 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-4

-4

-5

-5

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
G. Miller (4 goals)
I. Cameron (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 14
1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 10
Home Win Rate
33%

2W / 6 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
43.8

League Difficulty: 42.0, Opponent Quality: 45.0

43.7

League Difficulty: 40.5, Opponent Quality: 45.8

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.52

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.08

1.12

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: +0.08

Adjusted Power Rating
39.4

Attack: 50.0, Defense: 31.3, Form: 37.5

37.2

Attack: 37.5, Defense: 40.6, Form: 28.1

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

1
1

16-30'

1

31-45'

1
2

46-60'

1

61-75'

2

76-90+'

3
Cheltenham
Barrow
Cheltenham

Power Rating Breakdown

39.4

Overall

Attack 50.0
Defense 31.3
Form 37.5
Consistency 35.2
Barrow

Power Rating Breakdown

37.2

Overall

Attack 37.5
Defense 40.6
Form 28.1
Consistency 49.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

42.0 vs 40.5

Opponent Quality

45.0 vs 45.8

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Cheltenham logo Cheltenham
L
Swindon (39%)
W
Rotherham (38%)
L
Charlton (49%)
L
MK Dons (41%)
W
Slimbridge (49%)
W
Evesham Utd (43%)
L
Colchester (45%)
L
Bristol R (58%)
Barrow logo Barrow
D
Harrogate (62%)
L
Hornchurch (49%)
L
Hartlepool (46%)
W
Morecambe (30%)
W
Blackpool (52%)
D
Radcliffe (39%)
W
Mansfield (43%)
L
Newport (44%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Swindon A
1 - 2 L
39%
Rotherham H
2 - 1 W
38%
Charlton H
1 - 3 L
49%
MK Dons H
0 - 2 L
41%
Slimbridge A
6 - 1 W
49%
Evesham Utd A
3 - 0 W
43%
Colchester H
1 - 4 L
45%
Bristol R A
0 - 4 L
58%
Tranmere H
1 - 3 L
44%
Newport H
1 - 0 W
44%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Harrogate A
2 - 2 D
62%
Hornchurch H
1 - 2 L
49%
Hartlepool A
0 - 2 L
46%
Morecambe A
1 - 0 W
30%
Blackpool H
2 - 0 W
52%
Radcliffe A
0 - 0 D
39%
Mansfield H
4 - 3 W
43%
Newport H
1 - 2 L
44%
Cambridge U A
0 - 3 L
57%
Walsall H
1 - 3 L
36%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but when we adjust for opponent quality, the picture becomes even more intriguing. Both teams have earned their statistics against comparable opposition.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 43.8 vs 43.7), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Cheltenham leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.6 goals per game compared to Barrow's 1.2 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Barrow's backline outperforms Cheltenham's, with 1.7 goals conceded per match versus 2.0.

Cheltenham has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Barrow has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Statistical modeling projects 3.2 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

⚠️ Risk Factor: In matches this evenly balanced, the deciding factor often comes down to set pieces and individual errors. Both teams should be wary of complacency in a match where neither side has a clear edge.

💡 Why This Matters: Recent form is the strongest predictor of short-term performance. Cheltenham's current run of 4 wins in 10 matches suggests they are playing at or near their peak capacity right now.

This is a genuine coin-flip. Both teams are remarkably evenly matched across all metrics, and the outcome will likely be decided by small margins on the day.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Cheltenham

Cheltenham

VS
Barrow

Barrow

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Cheltenham

4W 0D 6L · 16 goals scored · 20 conceded

Barrow

3W 2D 5L · 12 goals scored · 17 conceded

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