Cincinnati vs Chicago Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 54.2 vs 51.4), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Cincinnati holds the attacking edge with 2.9 goals per match versus Chicago's 2.2, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, Chicago is far superior, conceding just 1.2 goals per match with 4 clean sheets, while Cincinnati leaks 2.6 per match.

Cincinnati has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Chicago has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Chicago is a strong road team with a 75% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 4.5 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Chicago has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 14.5 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent US Major League Soccer match (2026-05-03), Cincinnati prevailed 2-3 against Chicago. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Cincinnati achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Chicago shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 2-3 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Chicago will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Cincinnati will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams drew 3-3 in the US Major League Soccer (2026-04-19). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.