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Compare Cincinnati vs Chicago

Cincinnati vs Chicago Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Cincinnati vs Chicago: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Cincinnati Cincinnati Home Team
Chicago Chicago Away Team
Cincinnati
55.2
D W D W L W W D L D

Last 10 Matches

Chicago
56.9
D W W W L L W W W L

Performance Radar

Cincinnati
Chicago

Categories Won

5

Cincinnati

3

Draw

7

Chicago

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 4D, 2L

60%

6W, 1D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
2.7

27 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
2.2

22 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+5

+5

+3

+3

Clean Sheet
0%

0 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
100%

10 / 10 matches

90%

9 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Evander (8 goals)
R. Lod (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 14 / 2nd Half: 13
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 9
Home Win Rate
67%

4W / 6 matches

75%

3W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 4 matches

50%

3W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
52.2

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 50.4

54.0

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 53.3

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.54

Actual: 2.7 | Diff: +0.16

1.83

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.03

Adjusted Power Rating
55.2

Attack: 92.0, Defense: 27.3, Form: 40.9

56.9

Attack: 62.4, Defense: 52.0, Form: 62.4

Goal Timing Analysis

4

0-15'

4
3

16-30'

4
6

31-45'

1
6

46-60'

1

61-75'

7
7

76-90+'

2
Cincinnati
Chicago
Cincinnati

Power Rating Breakdown

55.2

Overall

Attack 92.0
Defense 27.3
Form 40.9
Consistency 56.8
Chicago

Power Rating Breakdown

56.9

Overall

Attack 62.4
Defense 52.0
Form 62.4
Consistency 43.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

55.0 vs 55.0

Opponent Quality

50.4 vs 53.3

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Cincinnati logo Cincinnati
D
Sounders (31%)
W
NYCFC (54%)
D
Orlando (54%)
W
Earthquakes (33%)
L
Columbus (45%)
W
Whitecaps (55%)
W
Orlando (49%)
D
San Diego (59%)
Chicago logo Chicago
D
New York (54%)
W
Orlando (54%)
W
Portland (53%)
W
Charlotte (58%)
L
NYCFC (58%)
L
Inter Miami (65%)
W
Toronto (44%)
W
Montréal (50%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Sounders H
1 - 1 D
31%
NYCFC H
2 - 1 W
54%
Orlando A
1 - 1 D
54%
Earthquakes H
4 - 2 W
33%
Columbus A
1 - 2 L
45%
Whitecaps H
4 - 3 W
55%
Orlando H
6 - 2 W
49%
San Diego A
3 - 3 D
59%
Inter Miami H
3 - 5 L
60%
Charlotte A
2 - 2 D
64%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
New York A
1 - 1 D
54%
Orlando A
2 - 1 W
54%
Portland H
2 - 1 W
53%
Charlotte H
2 - 1 W
58%
NYCFC A
1 - 3 L
58%
Inter Miami A
2 - 3 L
65%
Toronto H
2 - 1 W
44%
Montréal A
2 - 0 W
50%
DC United A
3 - 1 W
48%
New York H
1 - 3 L
49%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but when we adjust for opponent quality, the picture becomes even more intriguing. Both teams have earned their statistics against comparable opposition.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 52.2 vs 54.0), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Cincinnati leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.7 goals per game compared to Chicago's 1.8 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Chicago has the defensive edge, conceding 1.5 per match compared to Cincinnati's 2.2.

Cincinnati has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Chicago has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Chicago has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 4.1 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Cincinnati has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Chicago has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: In matches this evenly balanced, the deciding factor often comes down to set pieces and individual errors. Both teams should be wary of complacency in a match where neither side has a clear edge.

💡 Why This Matters: Chicago's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

Statistically, there is very little to choose between these two teams. The numbers point to an evenly contested match where fine details and in-game decisions will likely prove decisive.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Cincinnati

Cincinnati

VS
Chicago

Chicago

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Cincinnati

4W 4D 2L · 27 goals scored · 22 conceded

Chicago

6W 1D 3L · 18 goals scored · 15 conceded

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