Cuba vs Grenada Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 48.9 vs 49.3), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Grenada possess a formidable attacking unit, with J. Francis accounting for 2 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 2.1 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

Both defenses are comparable, with Cuba conceding 1.9 and Grenada conceding 1.7 per match.

Cuba has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Statistical modeling projects 3.3 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Cuba is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 7 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Grenada has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Grenada is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Cuba shows signs of decline with 2W in last 7.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Grenada faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.7 goals per match. If Cuba can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 20.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Grenada. In practical terms, Grenada would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Grenada in this contest. Their superior power rating of 54.8, compared to 33.9 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

In their recent Internationals match (2025-10-12), Grenada prevailed 2-0 against Cuba. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Grenada secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Cuba will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Grenada will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.