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Compare Fleetwood vs Cheltenham

Fleetwood vs Cheltenham Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Fleetwood vs Cheltenham: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Fleetwood Fleetwood Home Team
Cheltenham Cheltenham Away Team
Fleetwood
49.4
D W W L D W W D D D

Last 10 Matches

Cheltenham
39.4
L W L L W W L L L W

Performance Radar

Fleetwood
Cheltenham

Categories Won

6

Fleetwood

3

Draw

6

Cheltenham

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 5D, 1L

40%

4W, 0D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.7

7 / 10 matches

2.0

20 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+4

+4

-4

-4

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
20%

2 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
C. Evans (3 goals)
G. Miller (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 14
Home Win Rate
43%

3W / 7 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
33%

1W / 3 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
44.6

League Difficulty: 42.5, Opponent Quality: 46.0

43.8

League Difficulty: 42.0, Opponent Quality: 45.0

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.97

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: +0.13

1.52

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.08

Adjusted Power Rating
49.4

Attack: 34.7, Defense: 72.5, Form: 37.8

39.4

Attack: 50.0, Defense: 31.3, Form: 37.5

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

1

16-30'

1
2

31-45'

1
1

46-60'

2
1

61-75'

1

76-90+'

2
Fleetwood
Cheltenham
Fleetwood

Power Rating Breakdown

49.4

Overall

Attack 34.7
Defense 72.5
Form 37.8
Consistency 63.7
Cheltenham

Power Rating Breakdown

39.4

Overall

Attack 50.0
Defense 31.3
Form 37.5
Consistency 35.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

42.5 vs 42.0

Opponent Quality

46.0 vs 45.0

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Fleetwood logo Fleetwood
D
Gillingham (38%)
W
Chesterfield (49%)
W
Chesterfield (46%)
L
Hartlepool (50%)
D
Bolton (56%)
W
Huddersfield (50%)
W
Chester (50%)
D
MK Dons (39%)
Cheltenham logo Cheltenham
L
Swindon (39%)
W
Rotherham (38%)
L
Charlton (49%)
L
MK Dons (41%)
W
Slimbridge (49%)
W
Evesham Utd (43%)
L
Colchester (45%)
L
Bristol R (58%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Gillingham H
0 - 0 D
38%
Chesterfield A
1 - 0 W
49%
Chesterfield H
1 - 0 W
46%
Hartlepool A
0 - 1 L
50%
Bolton H
1 - 1 D
56%
Huddersfield H
2 - 1 W
50%
Chester H
2 - 0 W
50%
MK Dons H
1 - 1 D
39%
Shrewsbury A
2 - 2 D
38%
Chesterfield H
1 - 1 D
44%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Swindon A
1 - 2 L
39%
Rotherham H
2 - 1 W
38%
Charlton H
1 - 3 L
49%
MK Dons H
0 - 2 L
41%
Slimbridge A
6 - 1 W
49%
Evesham Utd A
3 - 0 W
43%
Colchester H
1 - 4 L
45%
Bristol R A
0 - 4 L
58%
Tranmere H
1 - 3 L
44%
Newport H
1 - 0 W
44%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 44.6 vs 43.8), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Cheltenham leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.6 goals per game compared to Fleetwood's 1.1 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Defensively, Fleetwood is far superior, conceding just 0.7 goals per match with 4 clean sheets, while Cheltenham leaks 2.0 goals per match.

Fleetwood has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Cheltenham has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.7 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Fleetwood has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 10.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 75% win probability for Fleetwood. In practical terms, Fleetwood would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

While Fleetwood holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 10.0-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Fleetwood

Fleetwood

VS
Cheltenham

Cheltenham

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Fleetwood

4W 5D 1L · 11 goals scored · 7 conceded

Cheltenham

4W 0D 6L · 16 goals scored · 20 conceded

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