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Compare Fleetwood vs Gillingham

Fleetwood vs Gillingham Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Fleetwood vs Gillingham: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Fleetwood Fleetwood Home Team
Gillingham Gillingham Away Team
Fleetwood
49.4
D W W L D W W D D D

Last 10 Matches

Gillingham
36.6
D L L W W L W W L L

Performance Radar

Fleetwood
Gillingham

Categories Won

8

Fleetwood

4

Draw

3

Gillingham

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 5D, 1L

40%

4W, 1D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.7

7 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+4

+4

-8

-8

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
20%

2 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
C. Evans (3 goals)
G. McCleary (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 1 / 2nd Half: 9
Home Win Rate
43%

3W / 7 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
33%

1W / 3 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
44.6

League Difficulty: 42.5, Opponent Quality: 46.0

45.9

League Difficulty: 42.5, Opponent Quality: 48.2

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.97

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: +0.13

0.85

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: +0.15

Adjusted Power Rating
49.4

Attack: 34.7, Defense: 72.5, Form: 37.8

36.6

Attack: 32.0, Defense: 38.4, Form: 38.4

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

1
1

16-30'

2

31-45'

1

46-60'

1
1

61-75'

76-90+'

2
Fleetwood
Gillingham
Fleetwood

Power Rating Breakdown

49.4

Overall

Attack 34.7
Defense 72.5
Form 37.8
Consistency 63.7
Gillingham

Power Rating Breakdown

36.6

Overall

Attack 32.0
Defense 38.4
Form 38.4
Consistency 39.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

42.5 vs 42.5

Opponent Quality

46.0 vs 48.2

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Fleetwood logo Fleetwood
D
Gillingham (38%)
W
Chesterfield (49%)
W
Chesterfield (46%)
L
Hartlepool (50%)
D
Bolton (56%)
W
Huddersfield (50%)
W
Chester (50%)
D
MK Dons (39%)
Gillingham logo Gillingham
D
Fleetwood (56%)
L
Walsall (36%)
L
Luton (59%)
W
Ebbsfleet (55%)
W
Millwall (47%)
L
Charlton (49%)
W
Dover (36%)
W
Shrewsbury (33%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Gillingham H
0 - 0 D
38%
Chesterfield A
1 - 0 W
49%
Chesterfield H
1 - 0 W
46%
Hartlepool A
0 - 1 L
50%
Bolton H
1 - 1 D
56%
Huddersfield H
2 - 1 W
50%
Chester H
2 - 0 W
50%
MK Dons H
1 - 1 D
39%
Shrewsbury A
2 - 2 D
38%
Chesterfield H
1 - 1 D
44%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Fleetwood A
0 - 0 D
56%
Walsall H
0 - 3 L
36%
Luton H
0 - 3 L
59%
Ebbsfleet A
2 - 1 W
55%
Millwall H
1 - 0 W
47%
Charlton H
0 - 1 L
49%
Dover A
3 - 0 W
36%
Shrewsbury H
1 - 0 W
33%
Barnet A
2 - 6 L
60%
Grimsby H
1 - 4 L
51%

AI Analysis

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 44.6 vs 45.9), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Fleetwood (1.1 goals per match) and Gillingham (1.0 goals per match) present comparable offensive threats, making this an evenly contested attacking matchup.

Defensively, Fleetwood is far superior, conceding just 0.7 goals per match with 4 clean sheets, while Gillingham leaks 1.8 goals per match.

Fleetwood has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Gillingham has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.3 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

📈 Form Momentum: Fleetwood has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 12.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 82% win probability for Fleetwood. In practical terms, Fleetwood would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Fleetwood has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 12.8-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

These two teams drew 0-0 in the League Two (2026-08-22). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Fleetwood

Fleetwood

VS
Gillingham

Gillingham

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Fleetwood

4W 5D 1L · 11 goals scored · 7 conceded

Gillingham

4W 1D 5L · 10 goals scored · 18 conceded

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