Ghana vs Mali Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Ghana vs Mali: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Ghana
Home Team
Mali
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Ghana
Draw
Mali
Statistical Comparison
1W, 2D, 7L
2W, 6D, 2L
5 / 10 matches
9 / 10 matches
16 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
-11
+2
2 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
1 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
1W / 1 matches
1W / 4 matches
0W / 9 matches
1W / 6 matches
League Difficulty: 82.0, Opponent Quality: 74.1
League Difficulty: 58.5, Opponent Quality: 50.8
0W / 8 matches
0W / 2 matches
Actual: 0.5 | Diff: -0.16
Actual: 0.9 | Diff: +0.2
Attack: 18.1, Defense: 50.7, Form: 10.9
Attack: 27.4, Defense: 69.9, Form: 18.2
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Ghana
Mali
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.
Ghana has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 58.7) compared to Mali (SoS: 41.2). This means Ghana's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.
Offensively, Mali outperforms Ghana with 0.9 goals per match to 0.5, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.
Mali holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 0.7 goals per game and recording 4 clean sheets, compared to Ghana's leaky backline that surrenders 1.6 goals per match.
Ghana has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 8 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Ghana has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.
Statistical modeling projects 1.9 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.
❄️ Form Momentum: Ghana is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
❄️ Form Momentum: Mali is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
💡 Why This Matters: The 9.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 73% win probability for Mali. In practical terms, Mali would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.
The numbers lean toward Mali, with a 9.2-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Ghana
Mali
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Ghana
1W 2D 7L · 5 goals scored · 16 conceded
Mali
2W 6D 2L · 9 goals scored · 7 conceded
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