Gana vs Mali Estatísticas de Confrontos Diretos e Comparação de Forma

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

Ghana has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 58.7) compared to Mali (SoS: 41.2). This means Ghana's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

Offensively, Mali outperforms Ghana with 0.9 goals per match to 0.5, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Mali holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 0.7 goals per game and recording 4 clean sheets, compared to Ghana's leaky backline that surrenders 1.6 goals per match.

Ghana has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 8 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Ghana has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Statistical modeling projects 1.9 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Ghana is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: Mali is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

💡 Why This Matters: The 9.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 73% win probability for Mali. In practical terms, Mali would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Mali, with a 9.2-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.