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Compare Gnistan vs Jaro

Gnistan vs Jaro Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Gnistan vs Jaro: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Gnistan Gnistan Home Team
Jaro Jaro Away Team
Gnistan
55.8
L D D W W W L W D W

Last 10 Matches

Jaro
27.9
W L D L L L W L L L

Performance Radar

Gnistan
Jaro

Categories Won

10

Gnistan

2

Draw

3

Jaro

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 3D, 2L

20%

2W, 1D, 7L

Goals Scored / Match
1.7

17 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.8

8 / 10 matches

2.7

27 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+9

+9

-16

-16

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
30%

3 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
40%

4 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
A. Akinyemi (5 goals)
H. Sjögrell (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 10
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 3
Home Win Rate
80%

4W / 5 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
45.0

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 45.0

48.7

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 51.2

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.42

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: +0.28

1.08

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: +0.02

Adjusted Power Rating
55.8

Attack: 53.8, Defense: 69.7, Form: 47.5

27.9

Attack: 36.2, Defense: 9.9, Form: 19.7

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

2
3

16-30'

4
1

31-45'

2
5

46-60'

2
4

61-75'

1

76-90+'

1
Gnistan
Jaro
Gnistan

Power Rating Breakdown

55.8

Overall

Attack 53.8
Defense 69.7
Form 47.5
Consistency 53.2
Jaro

Power Rating Breakdown

27.9

Overall

Attack 36.2
Defense 9.9
Form 19.7
Consistency 57.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

45.0 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

45.0 vs 51.2

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Gnistan logo Gnistan
L
Lahti (48%)
D
VPS (58%)
D
Jaro (34%)
W
Lahti (43%)
W
Mariehamn (27%)
W
SJK (41%)
L
Ilves (51%)
W
Jaro (29%)
Jaro logo Jaro
W
Ilves (46%)
L
TPS (46%)
D
Gnistan (56%)
L
Ilves (51%)
L
HJK (49%)
L
Oulu (54%)
W
Mariehamn (22%)
L
KuPS (67%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Lahti A
0 - 1 L
48%
VPS H
1 - 1 D
58%
Jaro A
1 - 1 D
34%
Lahti H
1 - 0 W
43%
Mariehamn A
3 - 0 W
27%
SJK H
3 - 2 W
41%
Ilves A
0 - 2 L
51%
Jaro H
5 - 0 W
29%
VPS A
1 - 1 D
63%
Inter Turku H
2 - 0 W
56%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Ilves H
2 - 1 W
46%
TPS A
2 - 3 L
46%
Gnistan H
1 - 1 D
56%
Ilves A
0 - 5 L
51%
HJK H
2 - 5 L
49%
Oulu A
1 - 2 L
54%
Mariehamn H
3 - 0 W
22%
KuPS A
0 - 3 L
67%
Gnistan A
0 - 5 L
60%
Inter Turku A
0 - 2 L
61%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 45.0 vs 48.7), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Gnistan holds the attacking edge with 1.7 goals per match versus Jaro's 1.1, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, Gnistan is far superior, conceding just 0.8 goals per match with 4 clean sheets, while Jaro leaks 2.7 per match.

Gnistan has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Jaro has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

The home advantage factor favors Gnistan, who boasts a 80% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Gnistan emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (55.8 vs 27.9) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams drew 1-1 in the Finnish Veikkausliiga (2026-06-23). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning. In their recent Finnish Veikkausliiga match (2026-05-16), Gnistan prevailed 5-0 against Jaro. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Gnistan secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 5-0 scoreline was emphatic — Gnistan completely dominated Jaro in that encounter, raising serious questions about Jaro's ability to compete at this level. Jaro will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Gnistan will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Gnistan

Gnistan

VS
Jaro

Jaro

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Gnistan

5W 3D 2L · 17 goals scored · 8 conceded

Jaro

2W 1D 7L · 11 goals scored · 27 conceded

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