Greece vs Hungary Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 56.9 vs 54.7), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Offensively, Hungary outperforms Greece with 1.7 goals per match to 1.2, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Hungary has the defensive edge, conceding 1.2 per match compared to Greece's 1.6.

Greece has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Hungary has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.9 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Greece is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Hungary has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Hungary is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Greece shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 16.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Hungary. In practical terms, Hungary would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Hungary emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (57.2 vs 40.9) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

These two teams drew 0-0 in the Internationals (2026-03-31). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.