Grécia vs Hungria Estatísticas de Confrontos Diretos e Comparação de Forma

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 56.9 vs 54.7), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Hungary leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.7 goals per game compared to Greece's 1.2 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Hungary's backline outperforms Greece's, with 1.2 goals conceded per match versus 1.6.

Greece has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Hungary has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.9 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

❄️ Form Momentum: Greece is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Hungary has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Hungary is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Greece shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 16.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Hungary. In practical terms, Hungary would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Hungary holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 57.2 against 40.9 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

These two teams drew 0-0 in the Internationals (2026-03-31). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.