Hearts vs Albion Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 35.0 vs 29.9), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Albion holds the attacking edge with 1.9 goals per match versus Hearts's 1.2, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Albion — 1.6 goals conceded per game and 3 clean sheets put them well ahead of Hearts, who give up 2.8 goals per match at the other end.

Hearts has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Albion has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Statistical modeling projects 3.8 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Albion has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Albion faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.6 goals per match. If Hearts can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 16.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Albion. In practical terms, Albion would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Albion emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (42.3 vs 26.2) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

In their recent Highland / Lowland match (2026-04-10), Hearts prevailed 3-0 against Albion. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Hearts secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 3-0 scoreline was emphatic — Hearts completely dominated Albion in that encounter, raising serious questions about Albion's ability to compete at this level. Albion will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Hearts will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.