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Compare Heidenheim vs M'gladbach

Heidenheim vs M'gladbach Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Heidenheim vs M'gladbach: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Heidenheim Heidenheim Home Team
M'gladbach M'gladbach Away Team
Heidenheim
57.9
L D W L W D W L W D

Last 10 Matches

M'gladbach
62.7
W W W L W D D L D D

Performance Radar

Heidenheim
M'gladbach

Categories Won

7

Heidenheim

2

Draw

6

M'gladbach

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 3D, 3L

40%

4W, 4D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
2.5

25 / 10 matches

2.0

20 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+10

+10

+9

+9

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
B. Zivzivadze (5 goals)
J. Castrop (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 17
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 14
Home Win Rate
67%

2W / 3 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
29%

2W / 7 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
51.7

League Difficulty: 77.2, Opponent Quality: 59.6

63.3

League Difficulty: 81.8, Opponent Quality: 63.7

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.85

Actual: 2.5 | Diff: -0.35

2.42

Actual: 2.0 | Diff: -0.42

Adjusted Power Rating
57.9

Attack: 84.8, Defense: 50.8, Form: 40.7

62.7

Attack: 75.5, Defense: 71.8, Form: 45.3

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

3
3

16-30'

3
2

31-45'

1

46-60'

1
2

61-75'

1
3

76-90+'

4
Heidenheim
M'gladbach
Heidenheim

Power Rating Breakdown

57.9

Overall

Attack 84.8
Defense 50.8
Form 40.7
Consistency 50.5
M'gladbach

Power Rating Breakdown

62.7

Overall

Attack 75.5
Defense 71.8
Form 45.3
Consistency 56.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

77.2 vs 81.8

Opponent Quality

59.6 vs 63.7

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 33%
Heidenheim logo Heidenheim
L
Hamburger (45%)
D
Bologna (45%)
W
Nördlingen (43%)
L
Mainz (65%)
W
Köln (69%)
D
Bayern Munich (82%)
W
St. Pauli (47%)
L
Freiburg (66%)
M'gladbach logo M'gladbach
W
RW Essen (41%)
W
Wuppertal (43%)
W
Hoffenheim (64%)
L
Augsburg (67%)
W
Dortmund (71%)
D
Wolfsburg (67%)
D
Mainz (65%)
L
Leipzig (79%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Hamburger A
1 - 3 L
45%
Bologna A
1 - 1 D
45%
Nördlingen A
9 - 0 W
43%
Mainz H
0 - 2 L
65%
Köln A
3 - 1 W
69%
Bayern Munich A
3 - 3 D
82%
St. Pauli H
2 - 0 W
47%
Freiburg A
1 - 2 L
66%
Union Berlin H
3 - 1 W
57%
M'gladbach A
2 - 2 D
77%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
RW Essen A
2 - 1 W
41%
Wuppertal A
6 - 0 W
43%
Hoffenheim H
4 - 0 W
64%
Augsburg A
1 - 3 L
67%
Dortmund H
1 - 0 W
71%
Wolfsburg A
0 - 0 D
67%
Mainz H
1 - 1 D
65%
Leipzig A
0 - 1 L
79%
Heidenheim H
2 - 2 D
71%
Köln A
3 - 3 D
69%

AI Analysis

On paper, these teams are closely aligned, and the data backs that up. Raw statistics can be misleading without context, but strength-of-opponent adjustments reinforce just how competitive this matchup is. Neither side has padded their numbers against weak opposition.

M'gladbach has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 63.3) compared to Heidenheim (SoS: 51.7). This means M'gladbach's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

Heidenheim holds the attacking edge with 2.5 goals per match versus M'gladbach's 2.0, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Defensively, M'gladbach holds the advantage — allowing just 1.1 goals per game against Heidenheim's 1.5.

M'gladbach has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.5 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Heidenheim has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: M'gladbach has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: M'gladbach's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

These two teams drew 2-2 in the German Bundesliga (2026-04-04). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Heidenheim

Heidenheim

VS
M'gladbach

M'gladbach

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Heidenheim

4W 3D 3L · 25 goals scored · 15 conceded

M'gladbach

4W 4D 2L · 20 goals scored · 11 conceded

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