Iceland vs N. Ireland Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Iceland vs N. Ireland: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Iceland
Home Team
N. Ireland
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Iceland
Draw
N. Ireland
Statistical Comparison
1W, 3D, 6L
4W, 1D, 5L
11 / 10 matches
10 / 10 matches
22 / 10 matches
12 / 10 matches
-11
-2
1 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
0W / 2 matches
3W / 4 matches
1W / 8 matches
1W / 6 matches
League Difficulty: 82.5, Opponent Quality: 71.6
League Difficulty: 83.5, Opponent Quality: 71.0
0W / 6 matches
0W / 5 matches
Actual: 1.1 | Diff: -0.16
Actual: 1.0 | Diff: -0.14
Attack: 39.6, Defense: 28.8, Form: 10.8
Attack: 36.1, Defense: 64.9, Form: 43.3
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Iceland
N. Ireland
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.
The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 58.1 vs 58.2), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.
The attacking output of Iceland and N. Ireland is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 1.1 and 1.0 goals per game respectively.
N. Ireland holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 1.2 goals per game and recording 3 clean sheets, compared to Iceland's leaky backline that surrenders 2.2 goals per match.
Iceland has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
N. Ireland has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
N. Ireland has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.
Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.
❄️ Form Momentum: Iceland is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. N. Ireland is on the rise with 4W in last 10, while Iceland shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.
⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, N. Ireland faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Iceland can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.
💡 Why This Matters: The 12.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 81% win probability for N. Ireland. In practical terms, N. Ireland would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
While N. Ireland holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 12.4-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Iceland
N. Ireland
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Iceland
1W 3D 6L · 11 goals scored · 22 conceded
N. Ireland
4W 1D 5L · 10 goals scored · 12 conceded
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