Islandia vs N. Ireland Estadísticas Cara a Cara y Comparación de Forma

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 58.1 vs 58.2), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

The attacking output of Iceland and N. Ireland is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 1.1 and 1.0 goals per game respectively.

N. Ireland holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 1.2 goals per game and recording 3 clean sheets, compared to Iceland's leaky backline that surrenders 2.2 goals per match.

Iceland has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

N. Ireland has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

N. Ireland has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

❄️ Form Momentum: Iceland is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. N. Ireland is on the rise with 4W in last 10, while Iceland shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, N. Ireland faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Iceland can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 12.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 81% win probability for N. Ireland. In practical terms, N. Ireland would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

While N. Ireland holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 12.4-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.