Jamaica vs Bermuda Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Jamaica has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 61.9) compared to Bermuda (SoS: 48.1). This means Jamaica's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Jamaica averaging 0.9 and Bermuda averaging 1.1 goals per match.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Jamaica — 0.8 goals conceded per game and 5 clean sheets put them well ahead of Bermuda, who give up 2.9 goals per match at the other end.

Jamaica has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 3 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Bermuda has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Statistical modeling projects 2.9 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Bermuda is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

💡 Why This Matters: The 24.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Jamaica. In practical terms, Jamaica would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Jamaica holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 50.7 against 26.1 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - North/Central America (2025-10-15): Jamaica defeated Bermuda 4-0. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Jamaica's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Bermuda. Jamaica secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 4-0 scoreline was emphatic — Jamaica completely dominated Bermuda in that encounter, raising serious questions about Bermuda's ability to compete at this level. Bermuda will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Jamaica will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - North/Central America (2025-09-05): Jamaica defeated Bermuda 0-4. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Jamaica's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Bermuda. Notably, Jamaica achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Bermuda shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 0-4 scoreline was emphatic — Jamaica completely dominated Bermuda in that encounter, raising serious questions about Bermuda's ability to compete at this level. Bermuda will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Jamaica will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.