Jamaica vs Bermudas Estatísticas de Confrontos Diretos e Comparação de Forma

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Jamaica has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 61.9 against considerably stronger competition than Bermuda (SoS: 48.1). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.

The attacking output of Jamaica and Bermuda is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 0.9 and 1.1 goals per game respectively.

Defensively, Jamaica is far superior, conceding just 0.8 goals per match with 5 clean sheets, while Bermuda leaks 2.9 goals per match.

Jamaica has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 3 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Bermuda has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Statistical modeling projects 2.9 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Bermuda is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

💡 Why This Matters: The 24.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Jamaica. In practical terms, Jamaica would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Jamaica holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 50.7 against 26.1 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - North/Central America (2025-10-15): Jamaica defeated Bermuda 4-0. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Jamaica's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Bermuda. Jamaica secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 4-0 scoreline was emphatic — Jamaica completely dominated Bermuda in that encounter, raising serious questions about Bermuda's ability to compete at this level. Bermuda will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Jamaica will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - North/Central America (2025-09-05): Jamaica defeated Bermuda 0-4. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Jamaica's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Bermuda. Notably, Jamaica achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Bermuda shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 0-4 scoreline was emphatic — Jamaica completely dominated Bermuda in that encounter, raising serious questions about Bermuda's ability to compete at this level. Bermuda will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Jamaica will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.