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Compare Kenya vs Zambia

Kenya vs Zambia Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Kenya vs Zambia: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Kenya Kenya Home Team
Zambia Zambia Away Team
Kenya
41.6
W D L W L L D L L

Last 10 Matches

Zambia
41.5
L D W D D L L W D L

Performance Radar

Kenya
Zambia

Categories Won

8

Kenya

1

Draw

6

Zambia

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
22%

2W, 2D, 5L

20%

2W, 4D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
1.3

12 / 9 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

14 / 9 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-2

-2

-7

-7

Clean Sheet
22%

2 / 9 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
33%

3 / 9 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
44%

4 / 9 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
N/A (0 goals)
B. Banda (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 0 / 2nd Half: 12
1st Half: 1 / 2nd Half: 10
Home Win Rate
50%

1W / 2 matches

67%

2W / 3 matches

Away Win Rate
14%

1W / 7 matches

0%

0W / 7 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
55.7

League Difficulty: 80.0, Opponent Quality: 67.7

68.0

League Difficulty: 80.0, Opponent Quality: 67.2

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 3 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.8

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: -0.47

1.36

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: -0.26

Adjusted Power Rating
41.6

Attack: 45.8, Defense: 49.3, Form: 23.3

41.5

Attack: 43.3, Defense: 47.2, Form: 23.6

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

1

31-45'

46-60'

1

61-75'

76-90+'

Kenya
Zambia
Kenya

Power Rating Breakdown

41.6

Overall

Attack 45.8
Defense 49.3
Form 23.3
Consistency 57.0
Zambia

Power Rating Breakdown

41.5

Overall

Attack 43.3
Defense 47.2
Form 23.6
Consistency 64.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

80.0 vs 80.0

Opponent Quality

67.7 vs 67.2

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 50%
Kenya logo Kenya
W
Lesotho (58%)
D
Zambia (58%)
L
Australia (75%)
W
India (45%)
L
Côte d'Ivoire (89%)
L
Benin (66%)
D
Algeria (69%)
L
Algeria (69%)
Zambia logo Zambia
L
Algeria (69%)
D
Algeria (69%)
W
Zimbabwe (71%)
D
Kenya (55%)
D
South Korea (62%)
L
Brazil (75%)
L
Canada (67%)
W
Zimbabwe (71%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Lesotho A
6 - 0 W
58%
Zambia A
1 - 1 D
58%
Australia H
0 - 2 L
75%
India H
2 - 0 W
45%
Côte d'Ivoire A
0 - 1 L
89%
Benin A
0 - 2 L
66%
Algeria A
1 - 1 D
69%
Algeria A
1 - 2 L
69%
Morocco A
1 - 5 L
80%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Algeria A
0 - 1 L
69%
Algeria A
1 - 1 D
69%
Zimbabwe H
3 - 0 W
71%
Kenya H
1 - 1 D
55%
South Korea A
1 - 1 D
62%
Brazil A
1 - 6 L
75%
Canada A
0 - 4 L
67%
Zimbabwe H
3 - 1 W
71%
Malawi A
1 - 1 D
54%
South Africa A
0 - 2 L
79%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but when we adjust for opponent quality, the picture becomes even more intriguing. Both teams have earned their statistics against comparable opposition.

Zambia has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 68.0) compared to Kenya (SoS: 55.7). This means Zambia's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

The attacking output of Kenya and Zambia is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 1.3 and 1.1 goals per game respectively.

Both defenses are comparable, with Kenya conceding 1.6 and Zambia conceding 1.8 per match.

Kenya has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Zambia has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.9 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Kenya is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 9 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: Zambia is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: In matches this evenly balanced, the deciding factor often comes down to set pieces and individual errors. Both teams should be wary of complacency in a match where neither side has a clear edge.

💡 Why This Matters: Zambia's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

The data offers no clear edge here. These sides are separated by the finest of margins across every key metric, making the final result almost impossible to call in advance.

In their recent Internationals Women match (2026-06-06), Zambia prevailed 1-1 against Kenya. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Zambia secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Kenya will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Zambia will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Kenya

Kenya

VS
Zambia

Zambia

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Kenya

2W 2D 5L · 12 goals scored · 14 conceded

Zambia

2W 4D 4L · 11 goals scored · 18 conceded

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