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Compare Leamington vs Bedford

Leamington vs Bedford Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Leamington vs Bedford: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Leamington Leamington Home Team
Bedford Bedford Away Team
Leamington
32.1
D L L W L L W L L L

Last 10 Matches

Bedford
43.4
W D D D W W D L W L

Performance Radar

Leamington
Bedford

Categories Won

7

Leamington

2

Draw

6

Bedford

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
20%

2W, 1D, 7L

40%

4W, 4D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
2.5

25 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-9

-9

+1

+1

Clean Sheet
0%

0 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
90%

9 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
90%

9 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
M. Brogan (4 goals)
G. Moncur (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 9
Home Win Rate
14%

1W / 7 matches

50%

3W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
33%

1W / 3 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
39.6

League Difficulty: 31.5, Opponent Quality: 45.0

37.1

League Difficulty: 31.5, Opponent Quality: 40.9

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.26

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.34

1.13

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: +0.17

Adjusted Power Rating
32.1

Attack: 47.8, Defense: 14.9, Form: 17.9

43.4

Attack: 37.7, Defense: 52.3, Form: 34.8

Goal Timing Analysis

6

0-15'

2
2

16-30'

2

31-45'

1

46-60'

2
1

61-75'

3
4

76-90+'

2
Leamington
Bedford
Leamington

Power Rating Breakdown

32.1

Overall

Attack 47.8
Defense 14.9
Form 17.9
Consistency 57.7
Bedford

Power Rating Breakdown

43.4

Overall

Attack 37.7
Defense 52.3
Form 34.8
Consistency 56.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

31.5 vs 31.5

Opponent Quality

45.0 vs 40.9

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Leamington logo Leamington
D
Brackley (33%)
L
Buxton (60%)
L
Kidderminster (67%)
W
Southport (48%)
L
Alfreton (39%)
L
Bedford (49%)
W
Peterborough S (24%)
L
King's Lynn (35%)
Bedford logo Bedford
W
Walton & H (46%)
D
Scarborough (40%)
D
South Shields (47%)
D
Hereford (40%)
W
King's Lynn (40%)
W
Leamington (26%)
D
Telford (39%)
L
Buxton (60%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Brackley H
2 - 2 D
33%
Buxton A
1 - 4 L
60%
Kidderminster H
2 - 3 L
67%
Southport A
2 - 1 W
48%
Alfreton H
1 - 2 L
39%
Bedford A
1 - 3 L
49%
Peterborough S H
4 - 2 W
24%
King's Lynn H
2 - 5 L
35%
Scarborough H
1 - 2 L
40%
Buxton H
0 - 1 L
55%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Walton & H H
2 - 0 W
46%
Scarborough H
1 - 1 D
40%
South Shields A
1 - 1 D
47%
Hereford H
2 - 2 D
40%
King's Lynn A
1 - 0 W
40%
Leamington H
3 - 1 W
26%
Telford A
2 - 2 D
39%
Buxton A
0 - 3 L
60%
Radcliffe H
1 - 0 W
25%
Worksop H
0 - 2 L
46%

AI Analysis

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (39.6 vs 37.1), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Leamington holds the attacking edge with 1.6 goals per match versus Bedford's 1.3, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Bedford — 1.2 goals conceded per game and 3 clean sheets put them well ahead of Leamington, who give up 2.5 goals per match at the other end.

Leamington has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Bedford has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.3 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Leamington is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Bedford has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 11.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 78% win probability for Bedford. In practical terms, Bedford would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

While Bedford holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 11.3-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

In their recent National League N / S match (2026-04-03), Bedford prevailed 3-1 against Leamington. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Bedford secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Leamington will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Bedford will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Leamington

Leamington

VS
Bedford

Bedford

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Leamington

2W 1D 7L · 16 goals scored · 25 conceded

Bedford

4W 4D 2L · 13 goals scored · 12 conceded

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