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Compare Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich

Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Mainz 05 Mainz 05 Home Team
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich Away Team
Mainz 05
50.6
W L W L D L L W W W

Last 10 Matches

Bayern Munich
76.3
W W W D D L W W W W

Performance Radar

Mainz 05
Bayern Munich

Categories Won

1

Mainz 05

1

Draw

13

Bayern Munich

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

70%

7W, 2D, 1L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

3.1

31 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-1

-1

+13

+13

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
P. Tietz (4 goals)
H. Kane (12 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 11 / 2nd Half: 4
1st Half: 12 / 2nd Half: 19
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

67%

4W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

75%

3W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
57.5

League Difficulty: 88.4, Opponent Quality: 63.3

68.5

League Difficulty: 83.6, Opponent Quality: 64.6

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.91

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.41

3.77

Actual: 3.1 | Diff: -0.67

Adjusted Power Rating
50.6

Attack: 53.8, Defense: 50.2, Form: 53.8

76.3

Attack: 100, Defense: 47.4, Form: 83.0

Goal Timing Analysis

6

0-15'

3
2

16-30'

3
2

31-45'

6
2

46-60'

5

61-75'

4
3

76-90+'

10
Mainz 05
Bayern Munich
Mainz 05

Power Rating Breakdown

50.6

Overall

Attack 53.8
Defense 50.2
Form 53.8
Consistency 38.8
Bayern Munich

Power Rating Breakdown

76.3

Overall

Attack 100
Defense 47.4
Form 83.0
Consistency 63.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

88.4 vs 83.6

Opponent Quality

63.3 vs 64.6

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 50%
Mainz 05 logo Mainz 05
W
Heidenheim (67%)
L
Union Berlin (58%)
W
St. Pauli (50%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
M'gladbach (70%)
L
Strasbourg (62%)
L
Freiburg (61%)
W
Strasbourg (57%)
Bayern Munich logo Bayern Munich
W
Stuttgart (49%)
W
Köln (56%)
W
Wolfsburg (62%)
D
Paris SG (76%)
D
Heidenheim (62%)
L
Paris SG (81%)
W
Mainz 05 (70%)
W
Leverkusen (51%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Heidenheim A
2 - 0 W
67%
Union Berlin H
1 - 3 L
58%
St. Pauli A
2 - 1 W
50%
Bayern Munich H
3 - 4 L
81%
M'gladbach A
1 - 1 D
70%
Strasbourg A
0 - 4 L
62%
Freiburg H
0 - 1 L
61%
Strasbourg H
2 - 0 W
57%
Hoffenheim A
2 - 1 W
68%
Frankfurt H
2 - 1 W
59%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Stuttgart H
3 - 0 W
49%
Köln H
5 - 1 W
56%
Wolfsburg A
1 - 0 W
62%
Paris SG H
1 - 1 D
76%
Heidenheim H
3 - 3 D
62%
Paris SG A
4 - 5 L
81%
Mainz 05 A
4 - 3 W
70%
Leverkusen A
2 - 0 W
51%
Stuttgart H
4 - 2 W
67%
Real Madrid H
4 - 3 W
72%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Bayern Munich has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 68.5) compared to Mainz 05 (SoS: 57.5). This means Bayern Munich's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Bayern Munich's attack is on another level, averaging 3.1 goals per match with H. Kane leading the charge with 12 goals. Mainz 05 manages just 1.5 per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Mainz 05 conceding 1.6 and Bayern Munich conceding 1.8 per match.

Bayern Munich has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Bayern Munich is a strong road team with a 75% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 4.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Bayern Munich emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (76.3 vs 50.6) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

In the German Bundesliga (2026-04-25), Bayern Munich beat Mainz 05 3-4. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Notably, Bayern Munich achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Mainz 05 shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 3-4 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Mainz 05 will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Bayern Munich will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Mainz 05

Mainz 05

VS
Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Mainz 05

5W 1D 4L · 15 goals scored · 16 conceded

Bayern Munich

7W 2D 1L · 31 goals scored · 18 conceded

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