Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Mainz 05
Home Team
Union Berlin
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Mainz 05
Draw
Union Berlin
Statistical Comparison
5W, 1D, 4L
3W, 2D, 5L
15 / 10 matches
15 / 10 matches
16 / 10 matches
20 / 10 matches
-1
-5
2 / 10 matches
2 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
2W / 5 matches
1W / 5 matches
3W / 5 matches
2W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 88.4, Opponent Quality: 63.3
League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 64.3
0W / 2 matches
1W / 3 matches
Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.41
Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.62
Attack: 53.8, Defense: 50.2, Form: 53.8
Attack: 58.6, Defense: 39.1, Form: 35.2
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Mainz 05
Union Berlin
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 57.5 vs 67.2), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.
Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Mainz 05 averaging 1.5 and Union Berlin averaging 1.5 goals per match.
Mainz 05 has the defensive edge, conceding 1.6 per match compared to Union Berlin's 2.0.
Union Berlin has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Mainz 05 is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.
Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.3 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.
Mainz 05 has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 5.3 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.
In the German Bundesliga (2026-05-10), Union Berlin beat Mainz 05 1-3. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Notably, Union Berlin achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Mainz 05 shows genuine quality and mental strength. Mainz 05 will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Union Berlin will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Mainz 05
Union Berlin
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Mainz 05
5W 1D 4L · 15 goals scored · 16 conceded
Union Berlin
3W 2D 5L · 15 goals scored · 20 conceded
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