Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin Estatísticas de Confrontos Diretos e Comparação de Forma

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 57.5 vs 67.2), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Mainz 05 averaging 1.5 and Union Berlin averaging 1.5 goals per match.

Mainz 05 has the defensive edge, conceding 1.6 per match compared to Union Berlin's 2.0.

Union Berlin has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Mainz 05 is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.3 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Mainz 05 has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 5.3 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

In the German Bundesliga (2026-05-10), Union Berlin beat Mainz 05 1-3. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Notably, Union Berlin achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Mainz 05 shows genuine quality and mental strength. Mainz 05 will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Union Berlin will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.