NAC vs Heracles Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare NAC vs Heracles: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
NAC
Home Team
Heracles
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
NAC
Draw
Heracles
Statistical Comparison
2W, 3D, 5L
0W, 2D, 8L
10 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
20 / 10 matches
23 / 10 matches
-10
-19
2 / 10 matches
1 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
1W / 4 matches
0W / 6 matches
1W / 6 matches
0W / 4 matches
League Difficulty: 73.0, Opponent Quality: 58.8
League Difficulty: 80.0, Opponent Quality: 64.7
0W / 3 matches
0W / 4 matches
Actual: 1.0 | Diff: -0.23
Actual: 0.4 | Diff: +0.04
Attack: 33.3, Defense: 33.3, Form: 20.0
Attack: 13.9, Defense: 24.4, Form: 0.0
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
NAC
Heracles
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.
With comparable strength of schedule figures (49.8 vs 54.6), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.
NAC leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.0 goals per game compared to Heracles's 0.4 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.
Defensively, NAC and Heracles are evenly matched, allowing 2.0 and 2.3 goals per game respectively.
NAC has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Heracles has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Statistical modeling projects 2.8 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.
❄️ Form Momentum: NAC is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
❄️ Form Momentum: Heracles is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, NAC faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 2.0 goals per match. If Heracles can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.
💡 Why This Matters: The 8.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 72% win probability for NAC. In practical terms, NAC would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.
The numbers lean toward NAC, with a 8.9-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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NAC
Heracles
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
NAC
2W 3D 5L · 10 goals scored · 20 conceded
Heracles
0W 2D 8L · 4 goals scored · 23 conceded
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