NEC vs Excelsior Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare NEC vs Excelsior: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
NEC
Home Team
Excelsior
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
NEC
Draw
Excelsior
Statistical Comparison
5W, 4D, 1L
4W, 3D, 3L
23 / 10 matches
20 / 10 matches
10 / 10 matches
15 / 10 matches
+13
+5
3 / 10 matches
1 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
3W / 6 matches
1W / 4 matches
2W / 4 matches
3W / 6 matches
League Difficulty: 76.5, Opponent Quality: 62.2
League Difficulty: 76.5, Opponent Quality: 58.2
1W / 2 matches
0W / 2 matches
Actual: 2.3 | Diff: -0.3
Actual: 2.0 | Diff: -0.44
Attack: 88.1, Defense: 76.6, Form: 57.5
Attack: 67.3, Defense: 50.5, Form: 40.4
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
NEC
Excelsior
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.
NEC has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 64.9) compared to Excelsior (SoS: 51.0). This means NEC's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.
The attacking output of NEC and Excelsior is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 2.3 and 2.0 goals per game respectively.
NEC has the defensive edge, conceding 1.0 per match compared to Excelsior's 1.5.
Statistical modeling projects 3.4 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.
📈 Form Momentum: NEC has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📈 Form Momentum: Excelsior has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
💡 Why This Matters: The 19.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for NEC. In practical terms, NEC would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
The numbers point firmly toward NEC in this contest. Their superior power rating of 72.0, compared to 52.5 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.
In their recent Dutch Eredivisie match (2026-04-04), NEC prevailed 0-2 against Excelsior. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, NEC achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Excelsior shows genuine quality and mental strength. Excelsior will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. NEC will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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NEC
Excelsior
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
NEC
5W 4D 1L · 23 goals scored · 10 conceded
Excelsior
4W 3D 3L · 20 goals scored · 15 conceded
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