NEC vs Excelsior Estatísticas de Confrontos Diretos e Comparação de Forma

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

NEC has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 64.9) compared to Excelsior (SoS: 50.9). This means NEC's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

The attacking output of NEC and Excelsior is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 2.3 and 2.0 goals per game respectively.

NEC's backline outperforms Excelsior's, with 1.0 goals conceded per match versus 1.5.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.4 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: NEC has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Excelsior has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 19.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for NEC. In practical terms, NEC would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, NEC holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 72.0 against 52.5 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

In their recent Dutch Eredivisie match (2026-04-04), NEC prevailed 0-2 against Excelsior. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, NEC achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Excelsior shows genuine quality and mental strength. Excelsior will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. NEC will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.