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Compare NEC vs Telstar

NEC vs Telstar Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare NEC vs Telstar: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

NEC NEC Home Team
Telstar Telstar Away Team
NEC
72.0
W W L D D D W D W W

Last 10 Matches

Telstar
64.4
W W D W L L W L W W

Performance Radar

NEC
Telstar

Categories Won

10

NEC

2

Draw

3

Telstar

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 4D, 1L

60%

6W, 1D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
2.3

23 / 10 matches

2.1

21 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+13

+13

+7

+7

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
B. Linssen (4 goals)
S. van Duijn (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 15
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 14
Home Win Rate
50%

3W / 6 matches

80%

4W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
64.9

League Difficulty: 76.5, Opponent Quality: 62.2

60.7

League Difficulty: 80.0, Opponent Quality: 58.3

Elite Opponent Record
50%

1W / 2 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.6

Actual: 2.3 | Diff: -0.3

2.37

Actual: 2.1 | Diff: -0.27

Adjusted Power Rating
72.0

Attack: 88.1, Defense: 76.6, Form: 57.5

64.4

Attack: 77.5, Defense: 59.0, Form: 66.4

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

2
4

16-30'

3

31-45'

4
2

46-60'

3
3

61-75'

6
3

76-90+'

6
NEC
Telstar
NEC

Power Rating Breakdown

72.0

Overall

Attack 88.1
Defense 76.6
Form 57.5
Consistency 61.3
Telstar

Power Rating Breakdown

64.4

Overall

Attack 77.5
Defense 59.0
Form 66.4
Consistency 43.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

76.5 vs 80.0

Opponent Quality

62.2 vs 58.3

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 33%
NEC logo NEC
W
Fayha (30%)
W
Go Ahead (61%)
L
Groningen (58%)
D
Telstar (68%)
D
Twente (68%)
D
Feyenoord (73%)
W
Excelsior (69%)
D
Heerenveen (63%)
Telstar logo Telstar
W
Volendam (62%)
W
Heracles (36%)
D
NEC (78%)
W
Sparta (44%)
L
Utrecht (71%)
L
Groningen (53%)
W
PSV (70%)
L
Heerenveen (68%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Fayha H
7 - 0 W
30%
Go Ahead H
2 - 1 W
61%
Groningen A
1 - 2 L
58%
Telstar H
1 - 1 D
68%
Twente A
1 - 1 D
68%
Feyenoord H
1 - 1 D
73%
Excelsior A
2 - 0 W
69%
Heerenveen H
2 - 2 D
63%
PSV A
3 - 2 W
75%
Volendam H
3 - 0 W
57%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Volendam A
2 - 1 W
62%
Heracles H
3 - 0 W
36%
NEC A
1 - 1 D
78%
Sparta H
4 - 1 W
44%
Utrecht A
1 - 4 L
71%
Groningen H
0 - 2 L
53%
PSV H
3 - 1 W
70%
Heerenveen A
0 - 3 L
68%
Fortuna A
4 - 1 W
51%
NAC H
3 - 0 W
50%

AI Analysis

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 64.9 vs 60.7), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

The attacking output of NEC and Telstar is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 2.3 and 2.1 goals per game respectively.

NEC's backline outperforms Telstar's, with 1.0 goals conceded per match versus 1.4.

Telstar has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Telstar has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.4 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: NEC has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Telstar has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 7.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 69% win probability for NEC. In practical terms, NEC would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward NEC, with a 7.6-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

These two teams drew 1-1 in the Dutch Eredivisie (2026-05-02). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

NEC

NEC

VS
Telstar

Telstar

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

NEC

5W 4D 1L · 23 goals scored · 10 conceded

Telstar

6W 1D 3L · 21 goals scored · 14 conceded

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