New Zealand vs Iran Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 56.7 vs 54.1), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Iran holds the attacking edge with 1.6 goals per match versus New Zealand's 1.0, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Defensively, Iran is far superior, conceding just 0.6 goals per match with 6 clean sheets, while New Zealand leaks 2.3 goals per match.

New Zealand has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Iran has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

❄️ Form Momentum: New Zealand is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Iran has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Iran is on the rise with 4W in last 10, while New Zealand shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 28.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Iran. In practical terms, Iran would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Iran holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 59.5 against 31.3 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

These two teams drew 2-2 in the FIFA World Cup (2026-06-16). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.