Nova Zelândia vs Irã Estatísticas de Confrontos Diretos e Comparação de Forma

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 56.7 vs 54.1), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Iran holds the attacking edge with 1.6 goals per match versus New Zealand's 1.0, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Defensively, Iran is far superior, conceding just 0.6 goals per match with 6 clean sheets, while New Zealand leaks 2.3 goals per match.

New Zealand has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Iran has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

❄️ Form Momentum: New Zealand is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Iran has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Iran is on the rise with 4W in last 10, while New Zealand shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 28.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Iran. In practical terms, Iran would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Iran emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (59.5 vs 31.3) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

These two teams drew 2-2 in the FIFA World Cup (2026-06-16). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.