N. Macedonia vs Azerbaijan Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 42.7 vs 41.5), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Azerbaijan's attack is on another level, averaging 1.8 goals per match with S. Cəfərzadə leading the charge (4 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

Defensively, Azerbaijan is far superior, conceding just 0.7 goals per match with 4 clean sheets, while N. Macedonia leaks 2.9 goals per match.

N. Macedonia has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Azerbaijan has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Azerbaijan is a strong road performer with a 83% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 3.0 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: N. Macedonia is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 8 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

🔥 Form Momentum: Azerbaijan is in scorching form, winning 8 of their last 10 matches with 18 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Azerbaijan is on the rise with 8W in last 10, while N. Macedonia shows signs of decline with 2W in last 8.

💡 Why This Matters: The 43.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Azerbaijan. In practical terms, Azerbaijan would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Azerbaijan is the clear and dominant favorite. With a power rating of 64.5 vs 20.7, and superior metrics across the board, Azerbaijan should win this comfortably.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the Women's European World Cup Qualifiers (2026-06-09): Azerbaijan defeated N. Macedonia 1-3. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Azerbaijan's ability to perform on the biggest stage against N. Macedonia. Notably, Azerbaijan achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against N. Macedonia shows genuine quality and mental strength. N. Macedonia will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Azerbaijan will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams met recently in the Women's European World Cup Qualifiers (2026-03-03): Azerbaijan defeated N. Macedonia 2-0. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Azerbaijan's ability to perform on the biggest stage against N. Macedonia. Azerbaijan secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. N. Macedonia will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Azerbaijan will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.