N. Macedonia vs Belgium Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 55.8 vs 56.4), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Belgium possess a formidable attacking unit, with C. De Ketelaere accounting for 5 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 2.7 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

Defensively, Belgium is far superior, conceding just 1.0 goals per match with 3 clean sheets, while N. Macedonia leaks 1.8 goals per match.

N. Macedonia has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Belgium has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Belgium is a strong road performer with a 67% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

❄️ Form Momentum: N. Macedonia is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Belgium has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.1 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Belgium is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while N. Macedonia shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 41.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Belgium. In practical terms, Belgium would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Accounting for opponent quality throughout our evaluation, Belgium emerges as the heavy favorite by every measurable indicator. A power rating of 74.8 compared to 33.8, combined with across-the-board statistical superiority, projects Belgium as the likely winner and by a comfortable margin.

These two teams drew 0-0 in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - European (2025-10-10). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.