SJK vs TPS Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 47.4 vs 45.8), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

The attacking output of SJK and TPS is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 1.3 and 1.5 goals per game respectively.

TPS's backline outperforms SJK's, with 1.1 goals conceded per match versus 1.5.

SJK has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

TPS has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.7 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

❄️ Form Momentum: SJK is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: TPS has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 8.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 72% win probability for TPS. In practical terms, TPS would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

While TPS holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 8.7-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

In their recent Finnish Veikkausliiga match (2026-07-04), SJK prevailed 3-1 against TPS. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. SJK secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. TPS will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. SJK will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.