Start vs HamKam Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Start vs HamKam: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Start
Home Team
HamKam
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Start
Draw
HamKam
Statistical Comparison
2W, 1D, 7L
2W, 3D, 5L
11 / 10 matches
12 / 10 matches
23 / 10 matches
18 / 10 matches
-12
-6
1 / 10 matches
2 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
1W / 6 matches
1W / 3 matches
1W / 4 matches
1W / 7 matches
League Difficulty: 50.0, Opponent Quality: 55.2
League Difficulty: 50.0, Opponent Quality: 53.6
0W / 1 matches
0W / 1 matches
Actual: 1.1 | Diff: +0.1
Actual: 1.2 | Diff: +0.22
Attack: 32.7, Defense: 20.8, Form: 17.9
Attack: 35.5, Defense: 35.5, Form: 17.8
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Start
HamKam
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.
The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 39.3 vs 38.8), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.
Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Start averaging 1.1 and HamKam averaging 1.2 goals per match.
Defensively, HamKam holds the advantage — allowing just 1.8 goals per game against Start's 2.3.
Statistical modeling projects 3.2 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.
❄️ Form Momentum: Start is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
❄️ Form Momentum: HamKam is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, HamKam faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.8 goals per match. If Start can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.
💡 Why This Matters: The 5.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 63% win probability for HamKam. In practical terms, HamKam would win 6 out of 10 such matchups.
The numbers lean toward HamKam, with a 5.1-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
Start
HamKam
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Start
2W 1D 7L · 11 goals scored · 23 conceded
HamKam
2W 3D 5L · 12 goals scored · 18 conceded
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