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Compare Start vs HamKam

Start vs HamKam Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Start vs HamKam: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Start Start Home Team
HamKam HamKam Away Team
Start
29.0
L L W L L L W L L D

Last 10 Matches

HamKam
34.1
L D W L L L D D W L

Performance Radar

Start
HamKam

Categories Won

4

Start

4

Draw

7

HamKam

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
20%

2W, 1D, 7L

20%

2W, 3D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
2.3

23 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-12

-12

-6

-6

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
T. Strannegård (2 goals)
A. Potur (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 3
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 9
Home Win Rate
17%

1W / 6 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Away Win Rate
25%

1W / 4 matches

14%

1W / 7 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
39.3

League Difficulty: 50.0, Opponent Quality: 55.2

38.8

League Difficulty: 50.0, Opponent Quality: 53.6

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.0

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: +0.1

0.98

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: +0.22

Adjusted Power Rating
29.0

Attack: 32.7, Defense: 20.8, Form: 17.9

34.1

Attack: 35.5, Defense: 35.5, Form: 17.8

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

1

16-30'

1
2

31-45'

1
3

46-60'

4
1

61-75'

2
1

76-90+'

4
Start
HamKam
Start

Power Rating Breakdown

29.0

Overall

Attack 32.7
Defense 20.8
Form 17.9
Consistency 57.7
HamKam

Power Rating Breakdown

34.1

Overall

Attack 35.5
Defense 35.5
Form 17.8
Consistency 61.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

50.0 vs 50.0

Opponent Quality

55.2 vs 53.6

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Start logo Start
L
Fredrikstad (48%)
L
Viking (59%)
W
Kristiansund (40%)
L
Rosenborg (51%)
L
Brann (64%)
L
Fredrikstad (53%)
W
Vålerenga (45%)
L
Bodø/Glimt (70%)
HamKam logo HamKam
L
Brann (64%)
D
Aalesund (44%)
W
Vålerenga (50%)
L
Sarpsborg (57%)
L
Bodø/Glimt (75%)
L
Tromsø (58%)
D
Sandefjord (43%)
D
Aalesund (50%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Fredrikstad H
0 - 1 L
48%
Viking H
0 - 3 L
59%
Kristiansund A
2 - 1 W
40%
Rosenborg H
0 - 3 L
51%
Brann A
1 - 2 L
64%
Fredrikstad A
1 - 2 L
53%
Vålerenga H
2 - 0 W
45%
Bodø/Glimt H
1 - 4 L
70%
Viking A
3 - 6 L
64%
Tromsø H
1 - 1 D
58%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Brann A
0 - 3 L
64%
Aalesund H
1 - 1 D
44%
Vålerenga A
3 - 0 W
50%
Sarpsborg A
0 - 1 L
57%
Bodø/Glimt A
0 - 3 L
75%
Tromsø H
1 - 4 L
58%
Sandefjord A
2 - 2 D
43%
Aalesund A
2 - 2 D
50%
Lillestrøm H
2 - 0 W
42%
Fredrikstad A
1 - 2 L
53%

AI Analysis

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 39.3 vs 38.8), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Start averaging 1.1 and HamKam averaging 1.2 goals per match.

Defensively, HamKam holds the advantage — allowing just 1.8 goals per game against Start's 2.3.

Statistical modeling projects 3.2 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Start is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: HamKam is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, HamKam faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.8 goals per match. If Start can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 5.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 63% win probability for HamKam. In practical terms, HamKam would win 6 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward HamKam, with a 5.1-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Start

Start

VS
HamKam

HamKam

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Start

2W 1D 7L · 11 goals scored · 23 conceded

HamKam

2W 3D 5L · 12 goals scored · 18 conceded

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