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Compare Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich

Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Stuttgart Stuttgart Home Team
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich Away Team
Stuttgart
67.8
W W L D W D D W L W

Last 10 Matches

Bayern Munich
70.9
L W W W D D L W W W

Performance Radar

Stuttgart
Bayern Munich

Categories Won

5

Stuttgart

2

Draw

8

Bayern Munich

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 3D, 2L

60%

6W, 2D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
2.9

29 / 10 matches

2.8

28 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+14

+14

+11

+11

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
90%

9 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
E. Demirović (3 goals)
H. Kane (11 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 21
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 18
Home Win Rate
75%

3W / 4 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
33%

2W / 6 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
58.4

League Difficulty: 72.6, Opponent Quality: 60.4

64.8

League Difficulty: 78.4, Opponent Quality: 67.1

Elite Opponent Record
33%

1W / 3 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
3.28

Actual: 2.9 | Diff: -0.38

3.35

Actual: 2.8 | Diff: -0.55

Adjusted Power Rating
67.8

Attack: 100, Defense: 54.2, Form: 54.2

70.9

Attack: 100, Defense: 49.7, Form: 68.9

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

2
3

16-30'

3
1

31-45'

5
4

46-60'

6
3

61-75'

4
4

76-90+'

8
Stuttgart
Bayern Munich
Stuttgart

Power Rating Breakdown

67.8

Overall

Attack 100
Defense 54.2
Form 54.2
Consistency 53.2
Bayern Munich

Power Rating Breakdown

70.9

Overall

Attack 100
Defense 49.7
Form 68.9
Consistency 52.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

72.6 vs 78.4

Opponent Quality

60.4 vs 67.1

Elite Opponent Record

33% vs 40%
Stuttgart logo Stuttgart
W
Hollenbach (43%)
W
Balingen (43%)
L
Bayern Munich (63%)
D
Frankfurt (70%)
W
Bayer 04 (70%)
D
Hoffenheim (69%)
D
Bremen (63%)
W
Freiburg (43%)
Bayern Munich logo Bayern Munich
L
Wiesbaden (51%)
W
Stuttgart (58%)
W
Köln (64%)
W
Wolfsburg (67%)
D
Paris SG (76%)
D
Heidenheim (71%)
L
Paris SG (81%)
W
Mainz (70%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Hollenbach A
5 - 0 W
43%
Balingen A
7 - 0 W
43%
Bayern Munich A
0 - 3 L
63%
Frankfurt A
2 - 2 D
70%
Bayer 04 H
3 - 1 W
70%
Hoffenheim A
3 - 3 D
69%
Bremen H
1 - 1 D
63%
Freiburg H
2 - 1 W
43%
Bayern Munich A
2 - 4 L
82%
Hamburger H
4 - 0 W
58%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Wiesbaden A
1 - 2 L
51%
Stuttgart H
3 - 0 W
58%
Köln H
5 - 1 W
64%
Wolfsburg A
1 - 0 W
67%
Paris SG H
1 - 1 D
76%
Heidenheim H
3 - 3 D
71%
Paris SG A
4 - 5 L
81%
Mainz A
4 - 3 W
70%
Bayer 04 A
2 - 0 W
57%
Stuttgart H
4 - 2 W
76%

AI Analysis

On paper, these teams are closely aligned, and the data backs that up. Raw statistics can be misleading without context, but strength-of-opponent adjustments reinforce just how competitive this matchup is. Neither side has padded their numbers against weak opposition.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (58.4 vs 64.8), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

The attacking output of Stuttgart and Bayern Munich is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 2.9 and 2.8 goals per game respectively.

Both defenses are comparable, with Stuttgart conceding 1.5 and Bayern Munich conceding 1.7 per match.

Stuttgart has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Bayern Munich has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Stuttgart has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Bayern Munich is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 4.5 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Stuttgart has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Bayern Munich has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Bayern Munich faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.7 goals per match. If Stuttgart can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: Bayern Munich's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In the German DFB Pokal (2026-05-23), Bayern Munich eliminated Stuttgart with a 3-0 result. Cup matches bring a unique intensity, and Bayern Munich showed they can handle the pressure. Bayern Munich secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 3-0 scoreline was emphatic — Bayern Munich completely dominated Stuttgart in that encounter, raising serious questions about Stuttgart's ability to compete at this level. Stuttgart will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Bayern Munich will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In the German Bundesliga (2026-04-19), Bayern Munich beat Stuttgart 4-2. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Bayern Munich secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Stuttgart will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Bayern Munich will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Stuttgart

Stuttgart

VS
Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Stuttgart

5W 3D 2L · 29 goals scored · 15 conceded

Bayern Munich

6W 2D 2L · 28 goals scored · 17 conceded

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