Sunderland vs Everton Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (68.3 vs 59.2), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Sunderland (1.9 goals per match) and Everton (1.7 goals per match) present comparable offensive threats, making this an evenly contested attacking matchup.

Everton's backline outperforms Sunderland's, with 1.5 goals conceded per match versus 1.8.

Sunderland has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Everton has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.5 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Sunderland has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Everton is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Sunderland is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Everton shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Sunderland faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.8 goals per match. If Everton can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 10.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 76% win probability for Sunderland. In practical terms, Sunderland would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Sunderland has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 10.5-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

In the Premier League (2026-05-17), Sunderland beat Everton 1-3. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Notably, Sunderland achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Everton shows genuine quality and mental strength. Everton will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Sunderland will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.