Sunderland vs Everton Estadísticas Cara a Cara y Comparación de Forma

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Sunderland has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 68.3 against considerably stronger competition than Everton (SoS: 56.3). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.

Sunderland leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.9 goals per game compared to Everton's 1.4 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

The defensive records are closely aligned, with Sunderland giving up 1.8 and Everton giving up 1.6 per fixture.

Sunderland has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Everton has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.3 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Sunderland has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Everton is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Sunderland is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Everton shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Sunderland faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.8 goals per match. If Everton can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 17.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Sunderland. In practical terms, Sunderland would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Sunderland emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (58.9 vs 41.8) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

In the Premier League (2026-05-17), Sunderland beat Everton 1-3. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Notably, Sunderland achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Everton shows genuine quality and mental strength. Everton will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Sunderland will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.