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Compare Ukraine vs Lithuania

Ukraine vs Lithuania Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Ukraine vs Lithuania: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Ukraine Ukraine Home Team
Lithuania Lithuania Away Team
Ukraine
39.2
L L W D L W

Last 10 Matches

Lithuania
31.9
D L

Performance Radar

Ukraine
Lithuania

Categories Won

9

Ukraine

4

Draw

2

Lithuania

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
33%

2W, 1D, 3L

0%

0W, 1D, 1L

Goals Scored / Match
0.8

5 / 6 matches

0.5

1 / 2 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.7

10 / 6 matches

1.5

3 / 2 matches

Goal Difference
-5

-5

-2

-2

Clean Sheet
17%

1 / 6 matches

0%

0 / 2 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

3 / 6 matches

0%

0 / 2 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

3 / 6 matches

50%

1 / 2 matches

Top Scorer
O. Pyshchur (1 goals)
F. Steponavičius (1 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 3
1st Half: 0 / 2nd Half: 1
Home Win Rate
0%

0W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 2 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
62.6

League Difficulty: 75.0, Opponent Quality: 69.5

53.0

League Difficulty: 72.5, Opponent Quality: 68.5

Elite Opponent Record
33%

1W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.99

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.16

0.64

Actual: 0.5 | Diff: -0.14

Adjusted Power Rating
39.2

Attack: 30.0, Defense: 48.8, Form: 37.2

31.9

Attack: 17.2, Defense: 51.5, Form: 0.0

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

2

16-30'

31-45'

1

46-60'

1

61-75'

1
1

76-90+'

Ukraine
Lithuania
Ukraine

Power Rating Breakdown

39.2

Overall

Attack 30.0
Defense 48.8
Form 37.2
Consistency 45.8
Lithuania

Power Rating Breakdown

31.9

Overall

Attack 17.2
Defense 51.5
Form 0.0
Consistency 92.5

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

75.0 vs 72.5

Opponent Quality

69.5 vs 68.5

Elite Opponent Record

33% vs 0%
Ukraine logo Ukraine
L
Japan (81%)
L
United States U21 (72%)
W
Hungary (56%)
D
Lithuania (60%)
L
Albania (67%)
W
Spain (81%)
Lithuania logo Lithuania
D
Ukraine (57%)
L
Netherlands (80%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Japan A
0 - 3 L
81%
United States U21 A
1 - 3 L
72%
Hungary A
2 - 1 W
56%
Lithuania H
1 - 1 D
60%
Albania A
0 - 2 L
67%
Spain A
1 - 0 W
81%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Ukraine A
1 - 1 D
57%
Netherlands A
0 - 2 L
80%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 62.6 vs 53.0), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Ukraine holds the attacking edge with 0.8 goals per match versus Lithuania's 0.5, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Ukraine conceding 1.7 and Lithuania conceding 1.5 per match.

Ukraine has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.2 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Ukraine has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 7.3 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

These two teams drew 1-1 in the UEFA Under 21 Championship Qualifiers (2026-03-27). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Ukraine

Ukraine

VS
Lithuania

Lithuania

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Ukraine

2W 1D 3L · 5 goals scored · 10 conceded

Lithuania

0W 1D 1L · 1 goals scored · 3 conceded

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