Zambia vs Canada Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

Zambia has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 68.0 against considerably stronger competition than Canada (SoS: 50.0). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.

Offensively, Canada outperforms Zambia with 1.7 goals per match to 1.1, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Canada — 0.9 goals conceded per game and 3 clean sheets put them well ahead of Zambia, who give up 1.8 goals per match at the other end.

Zambia has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Canada has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Canada has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Statistical modeling projects 2.8 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Zambia is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Canada faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Zambia can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 11.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 78% win probability for Canada. In practical terms, Canada would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Canada, with a 11.0-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

In their recent Internationals Women match (2026-04-11), Canada prevailed 4-0 against Zambia. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Canada secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 4-0 scoreline was emphatic — Canada completely dominated Zambia in that encounter, raising serious questions about Zambia's ability to compete at this level. Zambia will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Canada will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.