Canadá vs Guatemala Estadísticas Cara a Cara y Comparación de Forma

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Canada has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 53.3 against considerably stronger competition than Guatemala (SoS: 41.6). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.

Canada holds the attacking edge with 1.5 goals per match versus Guatemala's 0.9, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Canada holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 0.9 goals per game and recording 5 clean sheets, compared to Guatemala's leaky backline that surrenders 2.1 goals per match.

Guatemala has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.7 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

📈 Form Momentum: Canada has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Guatemala is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

💡 Why This Matters: The 25.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Canada. In practical terms, Canada would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Canada holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 54.5 against 29.5 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

In their recent Internationals match (2026-01-18), Canada prevailed 1-0 against Guatemala. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Canada secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Guatemala will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Canada will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.